Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Schenn wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 71.3%
Defensive zone
Schenn 61.1%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 51.6%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Schenn
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Schenn
Stamkos
Last 10: Schenn 5-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
6
Schenn
Stamkos
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
1
Schenn
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
3
Schenn
Stamkos
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
49.3% (670)
+2.9%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
53.7% (121)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
33.3% (3)
+24.1%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Schenn is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Schenn shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Schenn
Stamkos
Home
51.1% (575)
54.0% (400)
Away
53.4% (607)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Schenn
Stamkos
P1
51.4%
48.6%
P2
52.7%
54.5%
P3
52.7%
45.4%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:28 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 18:21 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:30 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:27 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 12:13 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:17 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 02:47 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 02:47 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |