Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.2% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 51.5%
Defensive zone
Schenn 60.5%
Neutral zone
Schenn 54.9%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Schenn
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Schenn
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Schenn
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (542)
49.3% (789)
-0.6%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
56.9% (181)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
54.1% (98)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Schenn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Schenn shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Schenn
Stamkos
Home
49.0% (286)
52.0% (512)
Away
49.1% (293)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Schenn
Stamkos
P1
47.7%
42.1%
P2
48.7%
56.4%
P3
51.4%
53.7%
OT
25.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
46.4%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |