Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.2% vs Nosek 53.4% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 72.7%
Defensive zone
Schenn 61.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 65.7%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Schenn
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Schenn
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Schenn
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Schenn
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (542)
55.1% (557)
-6.4%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
50.0% (4)
+20.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
47.7% (111)
-7.7%
On power play, Schenn has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Schenn is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Schenn shoots left. Nosek is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Schenn
Nosek
Home
49.0% (286)
52.3% (342)
Away
49.1% (293)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Schenn
Nosek
P1
47.7%
49.0%
P2
48.7%
53.8%
P3
51.4%
57.9%
Final 5 min
46.4%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.1%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |