Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 51.8%). Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Nosek 51.4% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 52.5%
Defensive zone
Nosek 66.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 58.2%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Schenn
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Schenn
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
3
Schenn
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
53.0% (400)
-0.8%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
33.3% (12)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
45.5% (44)
+11.9%
On power play, Schenn has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Schenn is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (741).
Schenn shoots left. Nosek is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Schenn
Nosek
Home
51.1% (575)
49.6% (244)
Away
53.4% (607)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Schenn
Nosek
P1
51.4%
53.1%
P2
52.7%
51.4%
P3
52.7%
51.1%
Final 5 min
51.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 12:45 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |