Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Gallagher wins 33.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gallagher 46.7% vs Hayes 43.8% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gallagher 50.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 67.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 56.7%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Gallagher
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Gallagher
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Gallagher
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gallagher
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (25)
42.7% (478)
+1.3%
Power Play
20.0% (10)
42.9% (98)
-22.9%
On power play, Hayes has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Gallagher is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Gallagher shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Gallagher
Hayes
Home
31.8% (22)
43.5% (232)
Away
46.2% (13)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Gallagher
Hayes
P1
53.3%
40.1%
P2
16.7%
44.8%
P3
37.5%
42.4%
Final 5 min
25.0%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gallagher
40.0%▼
44.5%
37.1%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 13:30 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |