Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Gallagher wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gallagher 47.8% vs Hayes 56.3% (-15.8%)
Offensive zone
Gallagher 60.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 75.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 56.8%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Gallagher
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gallagher
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
36.4% (22)
56.6% (724)
-20.2%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
57.0% (79)
-7.0%
On even strength, Hayes has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Gallagher is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Gallagher shoots right. Hayes is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Gallagher
Hayes
Home
36.8% (19)
58.0% (405)
Away
46.7% (15)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Gallagher
Hayes
P1
47.1%
54.7%
P2
30.0%
55.7%
P3
42.9%
60.2%
Final 5 min
60.0%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gallagher
40.0%▼
44.5%
41.2%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
57.0%