Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaunce wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 51.3% vs Cizikas 55.0% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaunce 82.5%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 57.6%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 63.0%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Gaunce
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Gaunce
Cizikas
Last 10: Gaunce 4-6 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
1
Gaunce
Cizikas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
3
Gaunce
Cizikas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaunce
3
2
Gaunce
Cizikas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (126)
57.8% (767)
-5.4%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Gaunce is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Gaunce shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Cizikas
Home
46.9% (49)
56.6% (484)
Away
55.8% (77)
54.5% (477)
By Period
Gaunce
Cizikas
P1
54.5%
57.2%
P2
46.2%
54.7%
P3
55.8%
54.8%
Final 5 min
62.9%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
52.4%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 02:45 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 13:32 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:10 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:20 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |