Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaunce on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaunce wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 53.2% vs Cizikas 53.0% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 66.6%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 76.3%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 59.9%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Gaunce
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Gaunce
Cizikas
Last 5: Gaunce 3-2 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
1
0
Gaunce
Cizikas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
1
Gaunce
Cizikas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaunce
2
1
Gaunce
Cizikas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (50)
56.4% (757)
-0.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
41.2% (17)
+58.8%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
40.6% (165)
+39.4%
On power play, Gaunce has a +58.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Gaunce is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Gaunce shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Cizikas
Home
59.0% (39)
55.0% (473)
Away
58.8% (17)
51.7% (466)
By Period
Gaunce
Cizikas
P1
50.0%
54.9%
P2
53.3%
50.8%
P3
68.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
68.8%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
58.9%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:57 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:51 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 11:31 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |