Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaunce wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 54.4% vs Eichel 48.1% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 76.3%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 63.7%
Neutral zone
Eichel 54.8%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Gaunce
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gaunce
Eichel
Last 5: Gaunce 2-3 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
3
Gaunce
Eichel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaunce
2
0
Gaunce
Eichel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (155)
47.7% (858)
+10.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
55.6% (63)
-55.6%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (25)
44.8% (87)
+7.2%
On power play, Eichel has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Gaunce is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Gaunce shoots left. Eichel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Eichel
Home
54.8% (93)
47.7% (509)
Away
59.1% (88)
48.1% (499)
By Period
Gaunce
Eichel
P1
62.3%
49.5%
P2
48.1%
48.5%
P3
59.5%
46.8%
Final 5 min
51.2%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
56.9%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 14:38 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 17:31 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 10:41 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |