Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaunce wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 51.9% vs Eichel 45.1% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 80.2%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 51.9%
Neutral zone
Eichel 60.9%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Gaunce
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Gaunce
Eichel
Last 9: Gaunce 3-6 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
4
Gaunce
Eichel
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaunce
3
2
Gaunce
Eichel
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (894)
44.7% (8,462)
+7.0%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
52.8% (925)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (92)
38.3% (540)
+17.1%
On penalty kill, Gaunce has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Gaunce is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Gaunce shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,018).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Eichel
Home
49.9% (525)
45.7% (4,899)
Away
54.5% (470)
44.5% (5,028)
By Period
Gaunce
Eichel
P1
53.6%
45.4%
P2
47.4%
45.8%
P3
55.0%
44.2%
Final 5 min
54.0%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
52.1%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 14:38 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 17:31 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 10:41 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:57 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |