Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 53.2% vs Pavelski 53.0% (+5.5%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 58.7%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 58.3%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 56.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Gaunce
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (50)
52.3% (560)
+3.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
57.5% (113)
+42.5%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
62.5% (16)
+17.5%
On power play, Gaunce has a +42.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Gaunce is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Gaunce shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Pavelski
Home
59.0% (39)
54.2% (360)
Away
58.8% (17)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Gaunce
Pavelski
P1
50.0%
54.5%
P2
53.3%
56.7%
P3
68.0%
50.8%
Final 5 min
68.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
58.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%