Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Gaunce wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 52.5% vs Pavelski 50.9% (+2.7%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 61.0%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 52.6%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 51.4%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Gaunce
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (170)
51.5% (594)
+2.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
51.7% (87)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
28.6% (14)
+21.4%
On penalty kill, Gaunce has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Gaunce is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Gaunce shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Pavelski
Home
51.4% (107)
53.1% (339)
Away
57.3% (75)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Gaunce
Pavelski
P1
63.4%
53.8%
P2
46.3%
47.8%
P3
55.4%
50.2%
Final 5 min
58.0%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
53.8%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%