Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 52.5% vs Eller 52.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 67.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 77.1%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 54.5%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Gaunce
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Gaunce
Eller
Last 6: Gaunce 2-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
2
1
Gaunce
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Gaunce
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (170)
52.8% (742)
+1.3%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
67.6% (34)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
46.2% (156)
+3.8%
On power play, Eller has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Gaunce is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Gaunce shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Eller
Home
51.4% (107)
54.5% (448)
Away
57.3% (75)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Gaunce
Eller
P1
63.4%
52.8%
P2
46.3%
50.9%
P3
55.4%
53.4%
Final 5 min
58.0%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
53.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 11:47 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 03:05 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:03 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |