Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 51.9% vs Eller 50.5% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 56.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 50.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Gaunce
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Gaunce
Eller
Last 10: Gaunce 2-8 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaunce
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
4
6
Gaunce
Eller
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (894)
51.1% (10,296)
+0.6%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
52.8% (621)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (92)
46.7% (1,751)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Gaunce has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Gaunce is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Gaunce shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Eller
Home
49.9% (525)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
54.5% (470)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Gaunce
Eller
P1
53.6%
51.2%
P2
47.4%
50.1%
P3
55.0%
50.2%
Final 5 min
54.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
52.1%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 16:54 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 09:34 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 02:03 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 03:02 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 11:47 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 03:05 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:03 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 01:47 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |