Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Gaunce wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 52.5% vs Scheifele 48.3% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 59.0%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 83.3%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 73.7%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Gaunce
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Gaunce
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
1
0
Gaunce
Scheifele
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaunce
1
0
Gaunce
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (170)
48.1% (1,045)
+6.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
48.6% (181)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
44.4% (27)
+5.6%
On even strength, Gaunce has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Gaunce is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Gaunce shoots left. Scheifele is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Scheifele
Home
51.4% (107)
52.7% (630)
Away
57.3% (75)
43.5% (623)
By Period
Gaunce
Scheifele
P1
63.4%
50.3%
P2
46.3%
46.8%
P3
55.4%
47.5%
Final 5 min
58.0%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
53.8%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 03:12 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |