Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 49.2% vs Scheifele 49.5% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 77.2%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 76.4%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 56.0%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Gaunce
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Gaunce
Scheifele
Last 6: Gaunce 2-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
4
Gaunce
Scheifele
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
1
0
Gaunce
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (74)
48.7% (981)
-0.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
53.2% (250)
+46.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
43.2% (37)
-9.9%
On power play, Gaunce has a +46.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Gaunce is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Gaunce shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Scheifele
Home
45.8% (48)
50.0% (672)
Away
51.5% (33)
48.8% (596)
By Period
Gaunce
Scheifele
P1
48.1%
51.4%
P2
37.0%
45.1%
P3
59.3%
51.9%
Final 5 min
42.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
48.1%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 17:11 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 03:40 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |