Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Gaunce wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 52.5% vs Barzal 46.3% (+10.8%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 66.6%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 62.4%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 51.5%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Gaunce
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (170)
43.0% (114)
+11.1%
On even strength, Gaunce has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Gaunce is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Gaunce shoots left. Barzal is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Barzal
Home
51.4% (107)
35.8% (53)
Away
57.3% (75)
49.2% (61)
By Period
Gaunce
Barzal
P1
63.4%
44.2%
P2
46.3%
38.5%
P3
55.4%
46.9%
Final 5 min
58.0%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
53.8%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.0%