Brendan Gaunce vs Mathew Barzal

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Brendan Gaunce holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaunce on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Gaunce wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Gaunce 51.9% vs Barzal 42.2% (+10.1%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Barzal 53.0%
Defensive zone Gaunce 82.7%
Neutral zone Gaunce 68.9%
Result Brendan Gaunce favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Gaunce Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 4 (9 meetings)
5
4
Gaunce Barzal
Last 9: Gaunce 5-4 Barzal

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
2
Gaunce Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
1
0
Gaunce Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaunce
4
2
Gaunce Barzal
6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Gaunce
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (894)
41.9% (3,565)
+9.8%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
43.4% (205)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (92)
42.3% (26)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Gaunce has a +13.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Gaunce is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Gaunce shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Barzal
Home
49.9% (525)
43.1% (1,895)
Away
54.5% (470)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Gaunce
Barzal
P1
53.6%
40.7%
P2
47.4%
44.4%
P3
55.0%
41.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
39.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%
56.5%
52.1%
Barzal
36.0%
44.0%
42.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 28, 2025 1 08:57 Offensive Mathew Barzal
Nov 12, 2022 3 15:53 Neutral Mathew Barzal
Nov 12, 2022 3 12:33 Defensive Brendan Gaunce
Nov 12, 2022 3 09:38 Neutral Brendan Gaunce
Nov 12, 2022 2 06:10 Offensive Mathew Barzal
Nov 12, 2022 2 03:09 Neutral Brendan Gaunce
Mar 31, 2022 3 19:03 Neutral Mathew Barzal
Mar 31, 2022 3 09:52 Neutral Brendan Gaunce
Mar 31, 2022 2 10:26 Neutral Brendan Gaunce