Brendan Gaunce vs Mathew Barzal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaunce on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Gaunce wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 51.9% vs Barzal 42.2% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 53.0%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 82.7%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 68.9%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Gaunce
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Gaunce
Barzal
Last 9: Gaunce 5-4 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
2
Gaunce
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
1
0
Gaunce
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaunce
4
2
Gaunce
Barzal
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (894)
41.9% (3,565)
+9.8%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
43.4% (205)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (92)
42.3% (26)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Gaunce has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Gaunce is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Gaunce shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Barzal
Home
49.9% (525)
43.1% (1,895)
Away
54.5% (470)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Gaunce
Barzal
P1
53.6%
40.7%
P2
47.4%
44.4%
P3
55.0%
41.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
52.1%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 08:57 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 15:53 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:33 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 09:38 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 10:26 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |