Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 49.2% vs Schmaltz 49.4% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 77.3%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 69.7%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 55.4%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 77.3%
22.7%
77.3%
Gaunce
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Gaunce
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
2
Gaunce
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (74)
48.1% (268)
+0.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.5% (91)
+49.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
58.8% (17)
-25.5%
On power play, Gaunce has a +49.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Gaunce is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Gaunce shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Schmaltz
Home
45.8% (48)
49.0% (206)
Away
51.5% (33)
49.4% (170)
By Period
Gaunce
Schmaltz
P1
48.1%
53.6%
P2
37.0%
46.2%
P3
59.3%
50.4%
Final 5 min
42.1%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
48.1%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |