Brendan Gaunce vs Nick Schmaltz
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaunce wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 51.9% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 81.2%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 71.0%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 52.8%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Gaunce
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Gaunce
Schmaltz
Last 9: Gaunce 4-5 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
4
Gaunce
Schmaltz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
4
1
Gaunce
Schmaltz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (894)
41.2% (3,399)
+10.5%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
47.1% (649)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (92)
47.8% (134)
+7.6%
On even strength, Gaunce has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Gaunce is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Gaunce shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Schmaltz
Home
49.9% (525)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
54.5% (470)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
Gaunce
Schmaltz
P1
53.6%
41.1%
P2
47.4%
42.9%
P3
55.0%
43.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
52.1%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 09:45 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |