Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 52.2%). Gaunce wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 51.9% vs Carrick 52.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 53.3%
Defensive zone
Carrick 65.3%
Neutral zone
Carrick 51.5%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Gaunce
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Gaunce
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
1
0
Gaunce
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (894)
52.1% (2,513)
-0.4%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
61.3% (75)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (92)
50.7% (430)
+4.7%
On power play, Carrick has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Gaunce is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Gaunce shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Carrick
Home
49.9% (525)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
54.5% (470)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Gaunce
Carrick
P1
53.6%
51.8%
P2
47.4%
52.2%
P3
55.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
54.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
52.1%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:01 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |