Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Gaunce wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 54.4% vs Carrick 53.8% (+2.4%)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 53.3%
Defensive zone
Carrick 50.3%
Neutral zone
Carrick 54.5%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Gaunce
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (155)
55.1% (439)
+3.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
66.7% (3)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (25)
49.1% (53)
+2.9%
On power play, Carrick has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Gaunce is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Gaunce shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Carrick
Home
54.8% (93)
58.2% (225)
Away
59.1% (88)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Gaunce
Carrick
P1
62.3%
56.7%
P2
48.1%
52.8%
P3
59.5%
54.4%
Final 5 min
51.2%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
56.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%