Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.8% vs 53.4%). Gaunce wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 52.5% vs Carrick 53.0% (+0.4%)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 62.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 70.1%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 54.0%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Gaunce
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (170)
53.9% (521)
+0.2%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
57.1% (35)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
51.5% (229)
-1.5%
On power play, Carrick has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Gaunce is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Gaunce shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Carrick
Home
51.4% (107)
52.7% (408)
Away
57.3% (75)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Gaunce
Carrick
P1
63.4%
51.4%
P2
46.3%
56.6%
P3
55.4%
52.1%
Final 5 min
58.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
53.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%