Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +27.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 52.5% vs Ostapchuk 43.3% (+27.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 60.5%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 86.7%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 81.1%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 83.9%
83.9%
16.1%
Gaunce
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Gaunce
Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
1
0
Gaunce
Ostapchuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaunce
1
0
Gaunce
Ostapchuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (170)
26.8% (41)
+27.3%
On even strength, Gaunce has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Gaunce is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Gaunce shoots left. Ostapchuk is 27.3% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Ostapchuk
Home
51.4% (107)
38.9% (18)
Away
57.3% (75)
17.4% (23)
By Period
Gaunce
Ostapchuk
P1
63.4%
31.6%
P2
46.3%
20.0%
P3
55.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
58.0%
30.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
53.8%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
26.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 15:38 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |