Brendan Gaunce vs Zack Ostapchuk
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaunce on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 51.9% vs Ostapchuk 48.4% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 59.1%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 76.3%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 70.9%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Gaunce
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Gaunce
Ostapchuk
Last 8: Gaunce 5-3 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
1
2
Gaunce
Ostapchuk
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
3
0
Gaunce
Ostapchuk
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gaunce
Ostapchuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (894)
48.5% (612)
+3.2%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
28.6% (7)
+27.0%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (92)
46.8% (62)
+8.6%
On power play, Gaunce has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Gaunce is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Gaunce shoots left. Ostapchuk is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Ostapchuk
Home
49.9% (525)
48.6% (319)
Away
54.5% (470)
47.8% (362)
By Period
Gaunce
Ostapchuk
P1
53.6%
48.2%
P2
47.4%
45.8%
P3
55.0%
50.5%
Final 5 min
54.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
52.1%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 11:58 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 02:42 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 15:38 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |