Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs McKegg 46.9% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Howden leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 54.0%
Defensive zone
Howden 51.1%
Neutral zone
Howden 63.5%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Howden
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Howden
McKegg
Last 10: Howden 6-4 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
2
Howden
McKegg
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
McKegg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKegg
2
3
Howden
McKegg
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (282)
45.9% (146)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
35.7% (14)
+1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Howden is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Howden shoots left. McKegg is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Home / Away
Howden
McKegg
Home
52.6% (173)
45.3% (64)
Away
41.5% (118)
44.8% (96)
By Period
Howden
McKegg
P1
51.6%
48.1%
P2
37.1%
50.0%
P3
55.3%
37.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.1%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 18:11 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 15:17 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 06:52 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 06:54 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 06:49 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |