Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.1%). Look for McKegg on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs McKegg 49.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
McKegg leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 54.7%
Defensive zone
Howden 50.1%
Neutral zone
Howden 53.2%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Howden
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Howden
McKegg
Last 10: Howden 6-4 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
2
Howden
McKegg
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
McKegg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKegg
2
4
Howden
McKegg
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
49.1% (1,143)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
50.0% (24)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
48.8% (86)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, McKegg has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Howden is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,152).
Howden shoots left. McKegg is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Howden
McKegg
Home
48.4% (1,608)
50.4% (554)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
48.1% (699)
By Period
Howden
McKegg
P1
49.5%
48.7%
P2
48.0%
49.9%
P3
49.9%
48.6%
Final 5 min
48.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 18:11 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 15:17 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 06:52 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 06:54 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 06:49 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 09:48 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |