Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.5% vs Spezza 53.2% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 75.5%
Defensive zone
Spezza 50.8%
Neutral zone
Spezza 58.8%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 70.5%
29.5%
70.5%
Howden
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Howden
Spezza
Last 5: Howden 3-2 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Howden
Spezza
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (417)
52.6% (346)
-5.6%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
61.0% (41)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (83)
72.7% (11)
-19.7%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Howden is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Howden shoots left. Spezza is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Howden
Spezza
Home
44.8% (268)
56.0% (175)
Away
51.8% (253)
52.5% (223)
By Period
Howden
Spezza
P1
51.6%
56.8%
P2
43.7%
54.3%
P3
50.0%
50.8%
Final 5 min
46.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.2%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2020 | 1 | 16:16 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 17:58 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 17:54 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |