Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Spezza 52.4% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 51.0%
Defensive zone
Howden 64.6%
Neutral zone
Howden 67.4%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Howden
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Howden
Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Howden
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Howden
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (282)
53.7% (451)
-5.1%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
54.3% (92)
-54.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
38.2% (34)
-0.7%
On power play, Spezza has a +54.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Howden is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Howden shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Howden
Spezza
Home
52.6% (173)
55.0% (282)
Away
41.5% (118)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Howden
Spezza
P1
51.6%
53.1%
P2
37.1%
53.2%
P3
55.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.1%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 03:35 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |