Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Spezza 54.7% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 51.5%
Defensive zone
Howden 73.9%
Neutral zone
Howden 61.6%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Howden
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Howden
Spezza
Last 10: Howden 4-6 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
4
Howden
Spezza
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
0
Howden
Spezza
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
3
Howden
Spezza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,882)
54.4% (7,990)
-4.8%
Power Play
50.0% (104)
56.8% (1,726)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (310)
52.7% (643)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Howden is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,159).
Howden shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Howden
Spezza
Home
48.4% (1,587)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
49.6% (1,709)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Howden
Spezza
P1
49.7%
55.7%
P2
47.7%
54.4%
P3
49.9%
54.1%
OT
39.3%
51.5%
Final 5 min
48.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
34.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 03:35 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 5, 2020 | 1 | 16:16 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 17:58 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 17:54 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 07:49 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 04:45 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 14:48 | Defensive | Brett Howden |