Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Bailey 51.1% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 61.0%
Defensive zone
Howden 71.1%
Neutral zone
Howden 51.5%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Howden
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Howden
Bailey
Last 5: Howden 2-3 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Howden
Bailey
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
1
Howden
Bailey
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (631)
51.3% (236)
-3.0%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
56.3% (32)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (58)
25.0% (4)
+16.4%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Howden is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Howden shoots left. Bailey is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Home / Away
Howden
Bailey
Home
52.0% (304)
55.0% (140)
Away
45.9% (425)
47.7% (132)
By Period
Howden
Bailey
P1
48.7%
57.1%
P2
48.1%
50.0%
P3
49.0%
47.8%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.4%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |