Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Bailey 45.5% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 70.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 53.5%
Neutral zone
Bailey 51.4%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Howden
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Howden
Bailey
Last 5: Howden 2-3 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Howden
Bailey
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
1
Howden
Bailey
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
45.8% (1,991)
+3.8%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
48.1% (295)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
39.9% (281)
+3.3%
On even strength, Howden has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Howden is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,152).
Howden shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Home / Away
Howden
Bailey
Home
48.4% (1,608)
46.6% (1,353)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
44.0% (1,232)
By Period
Howden
Bailey
P1
49.5%
46.5%
P2
48.0%
44.8%
P3
49.9%
44.4%
OT
39.3%
51.1%
Final 5 min
48.6%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |