Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 51.1% vs Bailey 45.9% (+9.8%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 72.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 74.1%
Neutral zone
Howden 51.0%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Howden
Bailey
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (214)
41.7% (84)
+11.6%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
28.6% (7)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
60.0% (5)
-40.0%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Howden is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Howden shoots left. Bailey is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Howden
Bailey
Home
55.2% (96)
37.9% (58)
Away
48.9% (131)
47.4% (38)
By Period
Howden
Bailey
P1
42.0%
47.2%
P2
55.8%
41.7%
P3
55.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
51.5%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.7%