Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Howden wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.0% vs Stenlund 54.2% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 88.2%
Defensive zone
Howden 62.3%
Neutral zone
Howden 74.7%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Howden
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Howden
Stenlund
Last 10: Howden 3-7 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
2
Howden
Stenlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
4
Howden
Stenlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
2
Howden
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (380)
56.2% (605)
-5.9%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
53.2% (47)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
51.8% (305)
-3.5%
On power play, Stenlund has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Howden is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Howden shoots left. Stenlund is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Home / Away
Howden
Stenlund
Home
47.7% (195)
57.0% (446)
Away
52.0% (229)
52.6% (511)
By Period
Howden
Stenlund
P1
50.7%
55.4%
P2
52.0%
53.2%
P3
48.4%
56.2%
OT
33.3%
41.2%
Final 5 min
49.5%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.0%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
58.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 17:12 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:47 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |