Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Howden wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs Stenlund 54.3% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 88.1%
Defensive zone
Howden 57.4%
Neutral zone
Howden 71.4%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Howden
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Howden
Stenlund
Last 10: Howden 3-7 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
2
Howden
Stenlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
4
Howden
Stenlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
2
Howden
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
56.1% (615)
-5.7%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
53.2% (47)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
52.1% (307)
-3.8%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Howden is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Howden
Stenlund
Home
47.7% (195)
57.0% (458)
Away
52.8% (233)
52.6% (511)
By Period
Howden
Stenlund
P1
51.1%
55.1%
P2
52.6%
53.3%
P3
48.8%
56.4%
OT
33.3%
42.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 17:12 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:47 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |