Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Stenlund 54.0% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 89.4%
Defensive zone
Howden 74.0%
Neutral zone
Howden 74.8%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Howden
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Howden
Stenlund
Last 10: Howden 3-7 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Howden
Stenlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
5
Howden
Stenlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
2
Howden
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
55.3% (2,703)
-5.7%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
52.6% (116)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
50.6% (919)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Howden is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Howden shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,807).
Home / Away
Howden
Stenlund
Home
48.4% (1,608)
54.3% (1,848)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
53.9% (1,890)
By Period
Howden
Stenlund
P1
49.5%
56.4%
P2
48.0%
53.3%
P3
49.9%
52.8%
OT
39.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
48.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 17:12 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:47 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |