Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Howden wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.0% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 65.0%
Defensive zone
Howden 88.2%
Neutral zone
Howden 77.0%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 85.9%
85.9%
14.1%
Howden
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Howden
Draisaitl
Last 5: Howden 1-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
4
Howden
Draisaitl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (380)
55.9% (835)
-5.6%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
61.8% (228)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
50.0% (40)
-1.7%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Howden is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (256).
Howden shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Home / Away
Howden
Draisaitl
Home
47.7% (195)
55.1% (508)
Away
52.0% (229)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Howden
Draisaitl
P1
50.7%
55.8%
P2
52.0%
55.7%
P3
48.4%
59.0%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.0%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 06:32 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |