Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Draisaitl 54.0% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 55.2%
Defensive zone
Howden 84.2%
Neutral zone
Howden 67.0%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Howden
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Howden
Draisaitl
Last 5: Howden 1-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Howden
Draisaitl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Howden
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
53.7% (923)
-0.3%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
56.1% (244)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
58.6% (29)
-10.5%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Howden is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (345).
Howden shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Howden
Draisaitl
Home
48.8% (258)
55.2% (636)
Away
56.6% (258)
53.4% (560)
By Period
Howden
Draisaitl
P1
54.0%
50.8%
P2
53.2%
56.6%
P3
50.9%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
67.9%
Final 5 min
56.9%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 09:02 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 18:41 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:35 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |