Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Draisaitl 53.3% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 24-11 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 82.6%
Defensive zone
Howden 91.6%
Neutral zone
Howden 83.4%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
Howden
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
24
(35 meetings)
11
24
Howden
Draisaitl
Last 10: Howden 2-8 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
6
5
Howden
Draisaitl
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
13
Howden
Draisaitl
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
6
Howden
Draisaitl
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
52.9% (10,240)
-3.3%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
55.7% (2,827)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
51.2% (977)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Howden is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,152).
Howden shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Home / Away
Howden
Draisaitl
Home
48.4% (1,608)
54.6% (7,049)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
52.0% (6,995)
By Period
Howden
Draisaitl
P1
49.5%
52.7%
P2
48.0%
53.6%
P3
49.9%
53.4%
OT
39.3%
57.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 06:32 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 09:02 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 18:41 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:35 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 1 | 03:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:49 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 18:06 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 04:35 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 04:24 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 14:21 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 03:05 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |