Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.0% vs Jankowski 53.2% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 53.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 61.0%
Neutral zone
Howden 56.9%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Howden
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Howden
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
2
Howden
Jankowski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Jankowski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (380)
53.8% (515)
-3.5%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
41.7% (12)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
57.9% (38)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Howden is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (256).
Howden shoots left. Jankowski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Howden
Jankowski
Home
47.7% (195)
53.9% (310)
Away
52.0% (229)
53.7% (255)
By Period
Howden
Jankowski
P1
50.7%
54.4%
P2
52.0%
55.7%
P3
48.4%
51.5%
Final 5 min
49.5%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.0%
Jankowski
50.0%▬
51.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:09 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |