Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 46.1% vs Jankowski 50.2% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 57.5%
Defensive zone
Howden 80.2%
Neutral zone
Howden 71.3%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Howden
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Howden
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
2
Howden
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (330)
49.3% (134)
-2.0%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
37.5% (8)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
61.9% (21)
-36.0%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +36.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Howden is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Howden shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Howden
Jankowski
Home
44.3% (176)
54.2% (72)
Away
45.8% (190)
47.3% (91)
By Period
Howden
Jankowski
P1
43.1%
54.2%
P2
43.1%
42.4%
P3
48.1%
55.4%
Final 5 min
45.6%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |