Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs Jankowski 53.6% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 50.6%
Defensive zone
Howden 64.0%
Neutral zone
Howden 60.6%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Howden
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Howden
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
2
Howden
Jankowski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Jankowski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
54.1% (527)
-3.7%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
50.0% (14)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
57.5% (40)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Howden is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (257).
Howden shoots left. Jankowski is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Home / Away
Howden
Jankowski
Home
47.7% (195)
53.9% (310)
Away
52.8% (233)
54.6% (271)
By Period
Howden
Jankowski
P1
51.1%
54.6%
P2
52.6%
56.3%
P3
48.8%
51.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:09 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |