Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.6% vs 46.7%). Look for Jankowski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 47.6% vs Jankowski 47.5% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 68.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 56.2%
Neutral zone
Howden 60.3%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Howden
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Howden
Jankowski
Last 8: Howden 3-5 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
3
Howden
Jankowski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
3
2
Howden
Jankowski
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (191)
49.0% (251)
+0.7%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
28.6% (7)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (48)
40.0% (65)
-4.6%
On power play, Howden has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Howden is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Howden shoots left. Jankowski is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Howden
Jankowski
Home
42.8% (138)
50.0% (172)
Away
51.3% (115)
43.0% (151)
By Period
Howden
Jankowski
P1
47.9%
42.5%
P2
49.4%
49.1%
P3
43.3%
48.5%
Final 5 min
45.7%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
46.6%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 19:33 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 19:27 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 16:37 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 13:57 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 13:32 | Neutral | Brett Howden |