Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 52.0%). Howden wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 56.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 55.3%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 53.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Howden
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Howden
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
52.9% (870)
+0.5%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
53.5% (43)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
46.2% (143)
+1.9%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Howden is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Howden
Zibanejad
Home
48.8% (258)
55.1% (501)
Away
56.6% (258)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Howden
Zibanejad
P1
54.0%
57.5%
P2
53.2%
50.7%
P3
50.9%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Brett Howden |