Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.9%). Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Howden leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 65.5%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 55.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 60.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Howden
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Howden
Zibanejad
Last 10: Howden 6-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Howden
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
1
Howden
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
50.9% (11,719)
-1.3%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
52.2% (1,849)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
41.5% (1,790)
+1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Howden is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Howden shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,678).
Home / Away
Howden
Zibanejad
Home
48.4% (1,608)
51.6% (7,566)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
48.3% (7,793)
By Period
Howden
Zibanejad
P1
49.5%
50.4%
P2
48.0%
49.7%
P3
49.9%
49.8%
OT
39.3%
48.7%
Final 5 min
48.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | OT | 04:43 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 13:36 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 2 | 11:19 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 14:38 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |