Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 46.1% vs Granlund 47.0% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 65.1%
Defensive zone
Granlund 60.7%
Neutral zone
Granlund 61.8%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Howden
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Howden
Granlund
Last 5: Howden 4-1 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
0
Howden
Granlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Howden
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (330)
46.7% (885)
+0.6%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
44.9% (69)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
49.0% (98)
-23.1%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Howden is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Howden shoots left. Granlund is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Home / Away
Howden
Granlund
Home
44.3% (176)
51.1% (495)
Away
45.8% (190)
42.9% (557)
By Period
Howden
Granlund
P1
43.1%
49.9%
P2
43.1%
46.4%
P3
48.1%
44.3%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 17:17 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 09:01 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |