Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Granlund 49.6% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 56.5%
Defensive zone
Granlund 52.3%
Neutral zone
Howden 56.7%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Howden
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Howden
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Granlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
49.5% (588)
+3.9%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
60.5% (43)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
45.2% (93)
+2.9%
On power play, Granlund has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Howden is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (345).
Howden shoots left. Granlund is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Howden
Granlund
Home
48.8% (258)
54.8% (305)
Away
56.6% (258)
45.8% (419)
By Period
Howden
Granlund
P1
54.0%
43.8%
P2
53.2%
51.2%
P3
50.9%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 11:46 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 12:14 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |