Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Stastny 54.2% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Howden leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 89.9%
Defensive zone
Stastny 69.1%
Neutral zone
Stastny 81.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 74.8%
25.2%
74.8%
Howden
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Howden
Stastny
Last 10: Howden 7-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Howden
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
5
1
Howden
Stastny
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (631)
52.8% (657)
-4.5%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
61.0% (118)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (58)
61.1% (72)
-19.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Howden is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Howden shoots left. Stastny is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Howden
Stastny
Home
52.0% (304)
53.0% (464)
Away
45.9% (425)
56.7% (383)
By Period
Howden
Stastny
P1
48.7%
47.9%
P2
48.1%
59.6%
P3
49.0%
54.9%
OT
33.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
45.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 05:34 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 04:34 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |