Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 51.1% vs Stastny 56.3% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 60.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 80.5%
Neutral zone
Howden 73.4%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Howden
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Howden
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Howden
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Howden
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (214)
57.5% (412)
-4.2%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
60.0% (65)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
44.4% (9)
-24.4%
On power play, Stastny has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Howden is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Howden shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Howden
Stastny
Home
55.2% (96)
58.3% (276)
Away
48.9% (131)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Howden
Stastny
P1
42.0%
63.7%
P2
55.8%
57.3%
P3
55.6%
50.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
51.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:52 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |