Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Stastny 55.4% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 62.7%
Defensive zone
Stastny 52.3%
Neutral zone
Howden 53.0%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Howden
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Howden
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Howden
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (282)
59.2% (370)
-10.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
40.9% (44)
-40.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
51.7% (58)
-14.2%
On power play, Stastny has a +40.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Howden is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Howden shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Howden
Stastny
Home
52.6% (173)
57.7% (215)
Away
41.5% (118)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Howden
Stastny
P1
51.6%
57.7%
P2
37.1%
54.2%
P3
55.3%
57.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 15:14 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |